Sunday, November 10, 2013

Tropical Depression Zoraida following Super Typhoon Haiyan

A new tropical Depression named Zoraida is now threatening the Philippines... Soon to be Podul, it is now located south east of the Philippines and expected to make landfall in northern Mindanao by Tuesday morning. This is not a severe storm, but it is following so close to the heels of Super Typhoon Haiyan.  Because the people of the Philippines are so vulnerable right at the moment, as they are trying to gather strength after such a disaster this past weekend, it makes it so dangerous. In the higher elevations of the country, people are experiencing mud slides as they are trying to dig out of the mess just created by the latest storm.
The northern part of the country is now expecting very heavy rains and strong winds, on top of what they already experienced if Haiyan.
With so many left homeless from the latest storm, the infrastructure left which almost doesn't exist in eastern Visayas, the homeless are especially vulnerable following Super Typhoon Haiyan.
It is now known that approximately 13,000,000 people have now been effected by Super Typhoon Haiyan, and the death toll will rise way above 10,000. A past storm named Rosing in 1991 had only half of the fatalities of Haiyan.
Super Typhoon Haiyan has deminished in strength as of late, but presently is affecting China and will have a major impact to Vietnam.

The Philippines - Tropical Storm Alley

Have you ever wondered why so my bad storms make their way to the Philippines? Super Typhoon Haiyan just happens to be the latest storm to pass through with devastating force. Haiyan was the third Category 5 typhoon to make landfall there.
Just prior to Haiyan, another typhoon hit the island nation on December 3, a storm known as typhoon Bopha. Still to date, it is known as the most destructive typhoon in Philippine history, as far as property damage goes. It is just too early to tell how much damage Super Typhoon Haiyan caused, althought the preliminary reports show so much destruction. Allot of the property damage was caused by storm surges as the storm finally came on land. Walls of water between 20 and 40 feet were reported, and towns along the coast in the direct path of the storm were demolished.
Typhon Bopha killed more than 1,900 people, and this latest storm that happens to be one of the largest and strongest ever recorded already has a prediction of 10,000 people killed, although the headcount so far is around 300. In the past 200 years, there has been at least 10 typhoons where there were at least 1,000 + casualties according to a historian named Christopher Burt from 'Weather Underground'.
So year after year, the Philippines experiences such storms of high magnitude. I have been in the country three different times, and during my stay during each one of them, I never experienced such bad weather as what has happened here now and in the past. Even with all of the tropical weather that affects the Philippines, there is one other country that has been hit more, and that would be China.
The western Pacific Ocean happens to be a spawning bed as on an average, there are at least 30 tropical cyclones formed there each year. The main reason being that this area of the world has consistant warm ocean waters year around.
Another country named India is well known for a Cyclone named Phailin that made landfall in 1999. The death told that October only reached 44.
Storms that form in the Western Pacific are called Hurricanes. Storms that form in the eastern Pacific are called Cyclones, and storms that form in the Indian Ocean are called Cyclones. They are actually the same type of storm.

Super Typhoon Haiyan

One of the strongest storms in recorded world history called Super Typhoon Haiyan, also known as Typhoon Yolanda in the Philippines, attacked this island country of 7000 + islands on November 7, 2013. The storm front origininated in the Pacific Ocean just east-southeast of Pohnpei on November 2, but since then, had intensified to a super typhoon with maximum sustained winds reaching or exceeding 240 km/h (150mph) on November 6th. At one point, the weather system punched through at least one-minute sustained winds of 314km/h (195mph) as recorded by JMA (Japan Meteorological Agency. It clearly reached a Category 5 storm in record time.
The storm continued  through the Pacific, gaining strength, then approached the Philippines from the east. It made its first landfall in the Philippines at Guiuan, Eastern Samar. As it passed over, the storm did not change in intensity. At this point when confirmed, this super typhoon will be the strongest storm to make landfall on any record book. Compared to the strength and size of this storm compared to the infamous storm that rammed into New Orleans in the mid 90s called hurricane Katrina, this storm was at least 4 times stronger, and could cover an area from Canada to the Gulf of Mexico. Nothing could be left standing that had to endure the direct path of this storm.
Devastation from this storm is very intense, as the death toll on Samar Island and Leyte are extremely high. The latest reports now estimate that at least 10,000 people perished from the storm in the city of Tacloban alone. Evacuations by the Philippine government ahead of the storm most certainly saved thousands of lives. Still, not knowing the exact path of the storm until it reached land, there was no way to tell exactly which areas in the country would be affected the most. Where do you run to when you live on one of the many 7000+ islands that make up your world? The storm approached the Philippine nation in record time and there was little time to react to get out of the way of Super Typhoon Haiyan.
As many know who read this blog, I have been unable to continue reporting on weather systems here on a regular basis. The last article written was on August 19th, 2013, and since then allot has happened in the world regarding weather. On November 1, the end of the hurricane season, you would think that the weather systems would die down a little. This storm is proof that storms can still be spawned even if they are not in a set window of opportunity for the storms as we know it. In the Philippines, there is no change of season. There are no cold winters. The leaves never fall from the trees unless something like Super Typhoon Haiyan happens and takes every leaf away, including the trees and bark that support them.
Still, with all of the pain and suffering and death caused by this storm, the Philippines will bounce back. Many towns have survived in the path of the storm, yet others have completely perished. On a personal note, I'm still waiting to hear from my wifes family who had to endure this storm. It is highly unlikely that their farming community survived, but we still have a glimmer of hope that everyone that we know survived. Even though storm seasons come and go, I will continue reporting on a regular basis as this blog moves forward.

Monday, August 19, 2013

Tropical Storm TRAMI heads towards China

  As expected the storm systems now located in the South China Sea have gained strength. Presently known as Tropical Storm TRAMI (Philippines name Maring) is now tracking northwest towards China. This storm is enhancing the Southwest Monsoon which is contributing to the heavy rainfall and flooding throughout several areas in Luzon (Philippines). Three people have been reported killed by this storm along with several others injured. 

But now it is moving to the North West, as most storms usually do in this part of the world. the Yaeyama islands are now being affected and the storm is now threatening Taipei. By the time it reaches Taipei, it may turn into another deadly typhoon. Taiwan is bracing for another strong tropical storm, possibly another typhoon as it moves towards a possible landfall of Fujian or Zhejiang province in eastern China.

Saturday, August 17, 2013

East China Sea Tropical Depressions Twelve and Thirteen

Two troubling storms located in the South China Sea are tropical Depressions known as Twelve and Thirteen. These two storms are located in the same general area in the South China Sea, with twelve located south of thirteen. Both storms are expected to strengthen, gain names and move to the north west towards Taiwan. This area of the world has already been hit pretty hard this year, but the storm season is not yet over, and two potentially dangerous storms are now located in the South China Sea. Further development of both of these storms will be mentioned here, but immediately below are the projected paths of both storms.

Tropical Storm PEWA Gaining Strength in the Pacific

Developing further at the moment is another tropical storm that strengthened rather quickly, now called Tropical Storm PEWA. Presently located in the middle of the Pacific Ocean, this storm is moving north west with winds speeds steady at 50 MPH, but gusting at 65 mph. The air pressure is setting at around 1000 mb. The storm is expected to gain strength to a Category 1 Typhoon within the next 48 hours. The general direction of the storm if it continues on its present path will be towards mainland Japan. 

Tropical Storm ERIN formed off of Cape Verde Islands

The tropical storm season has now picked up and now running in full gear. Just when you hope for a little relief, you discover that one saying is true for the tropical season. "It ain't over until it's over". This is especially true right now during the 2013 tropical season. 
A breeding ground for tropical storms each year is an area in the Atlantic just off of the African coast in the waters surrounding Cape Verde. At the present time, the water temperatures are perfect for breeding storms. Actually to our surprise this year, not many tropical storms have been produced in this area. But now is one of those times that a storm has actually formed, quite suddenly and has changed strength a few times. Because of upper level disturbances this storm named ERIN is now moving northwest in the Atlantic and already reached tropical storm strength, but it is expected to weaken to a tropical depression once again within the next 24 hours. That's good news, but the storm continues to move in the general direction of the United States, passing through generally warm waters and looks to be aiming at the east coast of the United States at the present time. That's good news for the Gulf of Mexico states like Florida, Mississippi, Louisiana and Texas. But there at the moment in the Gulf, is what I call a 'sleeping storm'. Presently in the southern Gulf of Mexico, there is a weather system that is not very well organized, but has the potential of growing into a tropical storm very quickly. There is allot of moisture present in one area of the Gulf, and the low associated to it is actually centered to the west of the cloud cover. So it is actually very disorganized at this time, but if the two come together, another storm may brew up right in the Gulf of Mexico.
So presently, the United States may be dodging two bullets at this time. Actually it is too early to tell when it comes to both of these storms. I believe the one to watch is the storm system that actually strengthened enough to receive a name, now known as tropical storm ERIN.

Friday, August 16, 2013

Utor Devastation WideSpread - China and the Philippines Hardest Hit

Typhoon UTOR, one of the worst tropical storms to hit the Philippines and mainland China turned out to be a very devastating storm. There has been a confirmed death toll from Utor to be at least eight people in the Philippines, before the storm continued across the North China Sea and ravaged China.
China experienced a more serious situation, although a smaller part of the country compared to the Philippines was actually affected. The main island in the Philippines called Luzon was pretty much under water so far, the total death toll from this storm is not really known, but at this moment almost a dozen people have been killed.
Unfortunately for thousands of other who managed to keep their lives, they instead lost their homes and their land. It is now a very difficult time for the many displaced Philippine citizens.
You may be wondering why the death toll is kind of light, considering the size and strength of Utor. Storms are nothing new to the people in the Philippines, as they endure an average of 20 serious storms each year. It has become a way of life during the months of July, August and September.
Because of the frequent storms each year, the people have been able to adapt and learn how to evacuate when the time comes. Unfortunately for many people in the United States who do not seem to have much sense when it is certain that the time has come for you to leave and remove yourself from the path of the storm, instead people in the U.S. try to wait out the storm, and then try to leave when it is too late. It is easy for me to say that if a storm of the magnitude of Utor visited the United States, there would be more fatalities, just because people seem to be more ignorant as to what actually they should do when faced with a storm such as Typhoon Utor a category 3 or 4 storm. There is no sense to stay and think you can protect yourself from such a storm.
This in itself is one of two reasons why I write this blog. On a personal note that I wish to share with you, I write this blog and one prior to this one because of my own family did not have enough sense to stay out of the way of a hurricane.
When hurricane Katrina hit many years ago, my sister was living in New Orleans at the time, but did elect to relocate herself during the stay of the storm with me in Dallas. Her daughter elected to stay, and fortunately for her, she made it through, but it was very difficult. It goes without saying that I was happy that my sister came to visit me, as she was much safer being with me during that very bad storm.
But then, to me she did the unthinkable. I think maybe because she really didn't personally experience Katrina, but only had to return to some minor damages to fences and trees in her yard.
So what do you think my sister did when she moved away from New Orleans? She moved to another town, just as vulnerable as New Orleans.... Galveston. How could I not worry about her.
Writing another blog called, I became really interested in weather, and eventually started this blog just prior to the hurricane season this year. The second reason why I write this blog, now especially after her death from a long illness, I really care about people who must face these horrific storms each year. I would like to warn everyone and anyone who learns about this blog.
So what are some of the known fatalities of the Philippine Typhoon called Utor. Some of the people didn't leave as they were told, but instead decided to stay and protect their belongings and property.
Two of the fatalities were men who were swept away by a flash flood and two others killed as the typhoon smashed their boat as they were trying to take cover from it after taking it ashore.
As expected, there were overflowing rivers, and in one incidenta man tried to save his water buffalo from being washed down the swollen river, but he drowned instead. Another drowned trying to rescue relatives. It is unknown if the relatives ever made it. Another such known product of the storm of this nature with heavy rains are landslides, as another man was crushed under a landslide. Another woman was swept away as she was standing on the roof a a house while rescue teams and her own neighbors watched helplessly.
Others were people who may have not known of the storm approaching, as they left for the sea just days before the storm hit.
Over 83,000 people now need assistance, and thousands more lost their homes. The storm was relentless as it ripped off the roofs of houses, churches and government buildings. The food crop suffered as most were flattened and many fallen trees were reported.
But the storm wasn't even half done. It headed back over open waters of the South China Sea and reached winds of 150km per hour and glanced by Hong Kong. But it still had a major effect on the city, as the stock markets were closed, as were all schools and businesses, not to mention all of the airline flights that had to be cancelled.
There was a cargo ship just off of Hong Kong, a pretty large ship that sank before reaching the city of Yangjiang, the city that took a direct center hit from the storm in southern China.
The fatalities in China were not a high, at least from what we know now, which is very good considering the difference in population that was hit directly on by Utor. One person was confirmed dead and another five are now missing from southern China, as it rained very heavily with nearly 2 feet of rain recorded in a very short period of time. There goes without saying that flooding and landslides also contributed to the fatalities.
In Maoming, 88,000 people were evacuated but still suffered by the storm as they experienced flooding and mountain torrents as they were trying to leave.
Finally, Thursday came and the store was reduced to a weak tropical depression. Somehow, China and the Philippines endured yet another bad storm.
But it wasn't the worst. Back in 2012, there were over a thousand people who were illed by Typhoon Bopha which is considered the most deadliest storm of that year in the world.
Thank God it is over !!

Monday, August 12, 2013

Typhoon Crossing North China Sea to Intensify

Typhoon UTOR is on a steady course towards China. The northern part of Hainan will also be affected with high winds, rain, storm surge and flooding, mainly on the Northwestern coast.
The storm is still expected to be centered over Zhanjiang as it moves inland, but not before it intensifies once more to a category 3 typhoon. As the typhoon gets closer to the coast, it is expected to weaken slightly, back down to a Category 2 typhoon. The storm will move over land briefly as a category 1 storm, but then weaken within the next 12 hours to a tropical depression. 

Less than 24 hours ago, this storm ravaged Luzon Province of the Philippines with winds of a Category 4 typhoon. Several cities were hit very hard, and some towns almost completely destroyed. When the storm entered the Luzon coast, there wasn't much population that was effected, until it moved further inland. Unlike the Philippines, a larger population will feel the effects immediately as it arrives on-shore in China. Within the next 12 hours, the storm should be producing heavy rains for mainland China. 
Further updates for the China weather along with news developments after the storm passed the Philippines will be reported soon. 
Typhoon UTOR, also known as Labuyo brought devastation to North Eastern Luzon on Monday local time.  The storm track was previously reported and the storm did stay on that track. UTOR hit the coastline of the Philippines with 250 kph as a Category 4 storm. So far this year, this is the strongest storm recorded during the hurricane season worldwide. One of the towns hardest hit, Casiguran was about 95% destroyed. Homes and buildings in this town were just not built to withstand any type of high winds. The storm shelters put up for such an occasion of bad weather were also damaged. It is unknown of the total fatalities at this time. Cars were reported as flying through the air. Most home structures have been destroyed throughout the town. They were torn apart like matchsticks.  There have been reports of extreme rain, flooding and landslides throughout the mountainous areas of Luzon. None of the details of  the results of the landslides is known at this time other than one fatality in Benguit because of a landslide. Further reports will reveal what actually happened and details will be available right here on this site.
As the storm was passing through the mainland of the Philippines, it was weakening in strength, and when it finally emerged into the South China Sea, it was downgraded to a severity 2 Typhoon, now aiming for Southern China. The island nation was able to weaken the storm quite a bit, but in return, the storm actually grew in physical size. The storm outer bands with rain extended to over twice the distance when it originally entered the Philippines. So at the moment, the storm is producing lots of rain, and even though the storm is now centrally located over water and downgraded in strength, it is still producing lots of rain for North Western Luzon. 
One lucky factor as a result of this storm is the number of known fatalities to date. The results so far seem to be very low, and the lack of population along the North Eastern coast of the Philippines is a big factor. Unfortunately for China, the storm will enter land where there is an abundance of people. It appears as if Hong Kong will now be spared, as the storm now is expected to move on land south of Hong Kong, now likely to be centered to be over Zhanjing. The storm is still located in the middle of the South China sea. It now appears that the northern third of Hainan will be affected when the storm passes by. 
As it moves to the north west, it will be the third such type of storm to enter southeastern China this month. 

Sunday, August 11, 2013 Update on Typhoon UTOR

Here One of my sources for information is a great site called WesternPacificWeather.  Here is their present update, to include video and detailed maps of the upcoming storm. 

Many thanks for the people at WesternPacificWeather who make this kind of information available to the public. 

Typhoon Utor (Labuyo) Early Evening Update #9 | August 11, 2013

Here is our latest Video Update; it is 15 minutes long and packed with lots of important information. Stay throughout to get the in-depth analysis regarding Utor’s impacts as it makes landfall in Luzon.
Typhoon Utor (Bagyong Labuyo) has intensified further as it nears the coast of Aurora. It was last located approximately 230km east southeast of Casiguran, Aurora or about 350km east northeast of Manila. Maximum sustained winds from JMA are now at 165kph with gusts of up to 240kph. Meanwhile, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center has increased the winds to 215kph sustained and gusts of up to 260kph making Utor a Category 4 Typhoon. Typhoon Utor is moving west northwestward at 20kph.
Baler Radar from DOST PAGASA
baler radar
Click HERE to get to PAGASA’s Facebook Page and get the latest updates and radar images.
As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has issued Signal Warnings to the following provinces:

Signal #3: Aurora, Nueva Viscaya, Mt. Province, Polilio Island, Quirino, Benguet, Ifugao, Nueva Ecija, and Isabela.
Signal #2: Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Rizal, Northern Quezon, Bulacan, Pampanga, Tarlac, Pangasinan, La Union, Ilocos Sur, Abra, Apayao, Kalinga, and Cagayan.
Signal #1: Albay, Sorsogon, Rest of Quezon, Laguna, Calayan, Babuyan Group of Islands, Ilocos Norte, Zambales, Bataan, Cavite, Batangas, and Metro Manila.

Rainfall Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)
Our rain map (not official!) shows where the heaviest rains will fall over the next 24 hours. Basically, provinces in Northern Luzon should expect more than 200mm of rain along with the possibility of landslides flashfloods. Meanwhile, areas in Central and Southern Luzon, including Manila, should expect rainfall amounts of 10o to 200mm with the potential of urban flooding. Farther to the south, the southwesterly flow associated with Utor could bring rains of up to 100mm with minor flooding possible as well.

Wind Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)
wind map
Utor should not only bring rains but strong winds as well. Areas in red could see 200kph which could destroy infrastructure and uproot massive amounts of trees. Please heed the warnings of your local officials, head to higher ground, stock up on food and water, and evacuate if you feel your house isn’t strong enough to withstand the storm.

Typhoon UTOR - Now a Category 4 Storm

TYPHOON UTOR, now a Category 4 storm is winding at 135 MPH with gusts up to 160 MPH. This upgrade to a level storm is definitely the worst news for the Philippines. Within the next 12 hours, this storm will start effecting the Philippines. Once over mainland Philippines, this storm is now expected to weaken to a Category 2 storm, but not before creating destruction across a vast area of the country, especially to the north of Manila.
Isabela is outlined in the picture below... This is an expected landfall point of UTOR in the Philippines.

Again, I cannot stress enough how important it is to get away from the path of this storm. 

The projected path of this storm in a graphic is listed immediately below this report...

Please note that the path of this storm is not official. The storm is forecast to make landfall in Isabela province or extreme southern Casiguran as a Severe Typhoon. Dangerous amounts rainfall will bring the risk of flooding and landslides across much Northern Luzon. Extreme rains and flooding is expected in the San Fernando area, to include Baguio.

From there, Typhoon Utor will continue across the South China Sea, but the storm will not be finished with the Philippines. Winds now coming from the Northwest from the tail edge of this storm will bring damaging winds along the West Coast of Luzon and as far south as Subic Bay.

I was hoping that Manila would escape from the effects of this storm, but the storm has grown so much in such little time, it is hard to predict if the storm will grow even further, and I'm really afraid now that this storm will have a major impact on the Philippines as it moves along.

Prior to moving into mainland China, the storm is expected to intensify while located over the South China Sea. If the storm stays on its present path after going through the Philippines, it will definitely have a very drastic effect on Hong Kong and even a possibility for rains as far north as Hainan. This may not happen until mid week. So as you can tell, the storm is expected to be in the area from at least the next 36 hours or maybe longer.

One of the biggest after effects of this storm will be flooding and landslides.  There will be a vast area along the coast the east coast in the Philippines that will be under water. The same conditions will be the result of the storm once it arrives in China. Storm surge will definitely be a factor with this storm.

Ok, so now you know, and what do you plan to do about it. Unfortunately, many people will think that just because they have survived storms before, that they will be able to survive this storm.  Most tropical storms are unpredictable, so you never know from one storm to the next if it is a good idea not to leave the area before the storm comes. I cannot stress enough since I became aware of this storm over a day ago when it was just a rain storm, that I had all of the tools available to tell you that this storm is going to be very devastating.

Until this report, I hesitated in reporting a Category 4 storm, but unfortunately the storm has grown now and will cause major destruction along its path.

Saturday, August 10, 2013

Typhoon UTOR - Now Category 3 Heading to the Philippines

The big story of the day is a weather system located approximately 150 miles to the east of the Philippines. This storm is barreling along now as a Category 3 typhoon named UTOR with a present wind speed of 115 MPH and wind gusts of 145 MPH.  This storm is a result of a low pressure system that was originally named ELEVEN.  This storm is now inching its way and will pass over the Philippines as a Category 2 storm with winds speeds still over 100 MPH and gusts to 125 MPH. Again, this storm is a killer storm. Unless you have gone through storms like this in the past and know how to handle the situation, I advise ALL residents in the path of this storm to move away from the path of this storm. Below you will see the immediate projected path of the storm. The southeasterly winds I mentioned in my last article that was expected to affect Manila now looks to be moving slightly north, but what thes means is that the entire country to the north of Manila is about to be inundated with heavy rain, winds, landslides and excess flooding. 
Originally, in my last article I wrote about the effects expected to Hong Kong. It appears as if the expected path of the storm now shows to be traveling further south, but the effects from winds coming from the southeast will prove to be very serious to the Hong Kong area. The storm is expected to reach China, and shows to go directly over Zhanjing and then move a little more to the North as it moves inland over China.
When UTOR is fully engulfed over land, the storm will weaken to a tropical storm, but not before creating over a foot, possibly two feet of rain in parts of mainland China. Flooding should be widespread, with landslides, heavy winds and rain. 
Again, at the present time, people in the Philippines should be bracing for one of the most disastrous storms in recent history. It is expected to be directly over Baler Bay in less than 48 hours. If people have a way to prepare for this storm, the time is NOW. Do not wait to find out if the forecast will change. The outer bands of rain from this storm should be felt in less than 36 hours. From that point on, it will continuously get worse. Heavy rains will prevail and before roads get washed away, it is important that people mobilize and move out of the way of this storm.
Further updates about this storm will be coming. 
Look at the projected path of this storm to get an understanding as to what is about to happen and where. 

Thursday, August 8, 2013

Tropical Depression 11 Promises Disaster to the Philippines and China

Two serious storms now exist. The first one previously reported named Hurricane HENRIETTE,  has now advanced to a Category 2 storm. This storm continues to move west towards the Hawaiian islands, but looks as if it will now do two things. It should continue to move south west, moving it farther away from the Hawaiian islands and then is also expected to dissipate. 

The 2nd storm,Tropical Depression 11, may advance to be the strongest storm of the tropical weather season and is expected to strengthen to a possible Category 3 level storm. It will be one of the strongest storms so far this season to actually make landfall. This storm is expected to travel through the northern coast of the Philippines and will have already strengthened to a category 3 storm. This should be of major concern for the northern part of the Philippine islands. Extreme rains, flooding and landslides are expected in the northern half of the country. 
The damages and effects of this storm will not stop in the Philippines. Most forecast models put the storm as continuing through the South China Sea and then landing directly back on land in China as a category 3 storm. The city to see major devastation from this storm looks to be HONG KONG and a wide area to the north and south of Hong Kong. The storm is not expected to weaken until it crosses over the China coastline. 
The present location as a tropical depression is approximately 400-500 miles to the east of the Philippines. Noone should take this storm lightly. Residents of the Philippines, especially in the areas from Manila and then running northward through the entire half of the island nation need to take precautions as soon as possible. Again, this tropical depression is expected to advance to a Category 3 typhoon by the time it reaches the Philippines. As the storm passes over the Philippines, it is expected to generate excessive winds to affect Manila from the northwest.
Again, ALL CONDITIONS WARRANT THAT THIS STORM WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY TO A CATEGORY 3 STORM. Forecasters are making predictions with high confidence that the storm will grow into a Category 3 storm within 72 hours. By that time, the rains will have already begun in the Philippines. When it reaches land, winds in excess of  120 MPH with wind gusts up to 150 MPH are expected to be felt. 

More details of tropical depression 11 will be supplied here on Tropical Depression 11 should advance with winds above 39 MPH within the next 12 hours and will be given a name which the Asian communities will soon not forget. 

Tropical Depression Labuyo Over the Philippines

Friday, August 9, 2013
"TROPICAL Depression Labuyo intensified and accelerated as it moves in a northwest direction," the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) said Friday.
Packing winds up to 55 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center, Labuyo is forecast to move northwest at 19 kph. The center of Tropical Depression was estimated at 1,000 km East of Bicol Region, and is within the Philippine Area of Responsibility, at 10 a.m. Friday, Pagasa said.
The tropical depression is expected to be at 840 km East of Casiguran, Aurora by Saturday morning, and at 490 km East of Tuguegarao City by Sunday morning. By Monday morning, TD Labuyo should be 80 km East of Aparri, Cagayan. Based on current forecast, TD Labuyo might intensify further before it makes landfall on the northern tip of Luzon on Monday.
Labuyo contains an estimated rainfall amount of 5 to 10 mm per hour (moderate to heavy).
On the other hand, the low pressure area also moved and was estimated at 65 km Southeast of San Jose, Occidental Mindoro. It is currently embedded along the Intertropical Convergence Zone and is set to bring scattered light to moderate rain and thunderstorms over Southern Luzon, Visayas and Northern Mindanao.

Tuesday, August 6, 2013

Tropical Depression 10 Should Strengthen Soon in South China Sea

Continuing forward in the South China Sea is Tropical Depression Ten, which should be givien another name very soon as it continues along the Vietnam coast, centered approximately 200 miles to the northeast of tp. Quy Nhan. This storm will inch its way closer to the Vietnam mainland, and then finally enter the country in around 36 hours. The storm has a forward motion presently at 21 MPH with a sustained wind speed of 35 MPH and gusts up to 45 MPH. The storm is expected to gain strength within the next 12 hours and within this time frame, should be given another name.  The storm is forecast to enter Vietnam just to the north of tp. Thanh Hoa. An area of from tp. Ha Tinh to tp.Cam Pha are expected to get the most rain and winds from this storm.The entire coastline of Vietnam should get some winds and rain as the storm passes by. 

GIL and HENRIETTE still Active in the Pacific

The tropical depression known as GIL has now been upgraded to a tropical storm with steady winds of 40 MPH, and gusts up to 50 MPH. This storm should stay on its present course with a forward motion of around 10 MPH. It should stay at this strength for the next 72 hours and then forecasters say that it will weaken to just a depression. 
Tropical storm HENRIETTE has now gained more strength and now categorized as a Category 1 hurricane. It is expected to stay as a category 1 for the next few days, then weaken to a tropical storm and eventually weaken to a tropical depression. 
In the case of both storms, they should both weaken as they pass by to the south of Hawaii. If any weather activity at all to affect Hawaii may be just a few rainstorms. It is possible that HENRIETTE may turn a little to the north and then create some notable rain for the Hawaiian Islands, but that should be around 4-5 days out. It is definitely too early to tell if HENRIETTE will affect the island in any way. 

Monday, August 5, 2013

Tropical Depression GIL and Tropical Storm Henriette in the Pacific

A deadly mixture of two storms, namely Tropical Depression Gil and yet another storm to actually cross the path of Gill, now called tropical storm Henriette are now moving west in the Pacific.

The tracks of both storms seem to put their locations to eventually pass the Hawaiian Islands to the South. Tropical Storm Gil, should eventually pass approximately 300+ miles to the south of Hawaii and should be at that distance around 7:00AM CDT on Saturday, August 10, 2013. The good news is that this storm most likely will not strengthen an further, and the present wind speed is steady at 30 MPH with wind gusts at 40 MPH. This storm is expected to weaken further as it moves to the west towards the Hawaiian islands.
Unlike Gil, the newest Pacific storm Henriette, is expected to strengthen within the next 24 hours to a Category 1 storm. Winds at that time are expected to be at a minimum of 75 MPH and gusts up to 90 MPH. This should occur sometime around Tuesday August 6th, around 7:00AM CDT.
As previously stated, the Category 1 storm should pass well to the South of the Hawaiian Islands, but some forecasters have it aiming right at Hawaii. Presently, I have a high level of confidence that the storm will pass to the south. Another good aspect of this storm is that it is expected to weaken way before it arrives in the waters around the Hawaii.
Within the last month, there has been multiple storms either forming or actively moving at the same time. Presently, there are no other storms worth mentioning at this time, but the waters are pretty much heated around the world and there should be increased multiple sightings of storms throughout the globe.

Sunday, August 4, 2013

Invest 94W affecting Southern Half of the Philippines

Invest 94W is another storm gathering just east of the Philippines near Mindanao. Bisayas and Luzon is expected to see heavy showers from this storm. It hasn't reached a level to be named a tropical storm, but there is a very broad area of wind circulation at this point. The storm appears to be moving Southwest. The following is a graphic showing the location of the storm as it affects the Philippines.

Tropical Storm Jebi Continues through North Vietnam and then Dissipates

As expected, tropical storm Jebi weakened but still ravaged Hainan in Southern China in the evening hours of Friday going into Saturday.The storm continued to affect the highly dependent Maritime traffic of Hainan but no injuries or loss of live had been reported also with various power outages. The storm did have an impact on Northern Vietnam where it made landfall. Continuing northwest, the storm traveled right over Hanoi and Hai Phong and eventually dissipated  The storm produced about 300 mm of rainfall is some isolated areas. As the storm moved northwest, southeasterly winds affected an area along the coast and into the mountains of South Vietnam, which caused flooding and some landslides in the south. Basically from this point on as it goes over land, rain showers will be the main topic of the storm with some flooding. No further report from Tropical Storm Jebi is needed at this time. As of this time, no fatalities have been reported. The following graphic map shows the affect of rain as the storm entered North Vietnam and affected parts of Laos. 

Friday, August 2, 2013

Tropical Storm Jebi - Possible Category 1 Storm Soon

Tropical Storm Jebi is continuing on its forecasted path,  eventually reaching North Vietnam. Presently, the storm has a forward movement of 16 mph which is an average forward speed of a tropical storm with its present strength. The sustained winds presently are 70MPH with wind gusts approaching 85 MPH. The storm continues to move in a north westerly direction towards Hainan and the North Vietnam coast. The Hainan Island should receive a substantial amount of rain and should receive a fair amount of wind on the North and Western sides of the island. Flooding and possible landslides may occur. A very substantial amount of rainfall should cover the northern half of Hainan. This storm does have the possibility of becoming a Category 1 storm prior to reaching the Vietnam coast. If the storm moves further to the North, chances are that it will intensify.  Further updates and details of how the storm affected Hainan will be coming shortly, beginning within the next 18 hours.

Category 1 Hurricane GIL in the Eastern Pacific

A new tropical depression originally formed in the Eastern Pacific on July 30, 2013 at around 10:00AM CDT. This storm rapidly advanced into tropical storm GIL just 6 hours later at 4:00PM CDT on July 30. The storm is one of the fastest developing storms of the season. Twenty-four hours later, it advanced to a Category 1 hurricane, with winds of 75 MPH and a barometric pressure of 992 mb.  Sometime around 8:00PM Sunday August 4th, this storm is expected to weaken to a tropical storm once again, as the storm is expected to become disorganized.  If it stays together at all at this point, it should pass to the South of the Hawaiian Islands. This is great news for the islands, as within the last few days have experienced another storm that grazed them to the North, but still produced lots of rains and winds. Luckily at that time there were no fatalities. On its present course, it is heading towards the Marshall Islands. No forecasts seem to show that the storm will stay organized long enough to reach the Marshall Islands. Further updates with this Category 1 hurricane in the Pacific will follow as the storm changes in strength, with most current locations.

Wednesday, July 31, 2013

New Tropical Storm JEBI - Pointing to HAINAN from the Philippines

A new storm known as Tropical Storm JEBI is now located between the Philippines and Hainan in the South China Sea, to the South East of HaNoi. This storm is moving very slowly, and has a bit of time to pick up strength before it reaches land. The forward motion is only 5 MPH, but it is already packing winds of 40 MPH with wind gusts of 50 MPH. Luckily, the Chinese mainland, including Macau, Hong Kong and Taiwan are to the north of the forecasters track of this storm. Because of its slow forward motion, the storm is still having effect on the Philippines, as strong monsoonal moisture streams and even some landslides are affecting the country, mainly around the areas of Jebi to Visayas and Western Luzon. High waves have been one of the major threats from the system in the Philippines. The storm is expected to make landfall on late Friday going into Saturday, and China will also experience high waves from 2-4m high.

Flossie Disappears after Short Show North of Hawaii

Tropical storm FLOSSIE came out of the gate making forecasters think that it would be the storm of the year for the Pacific. But during the entire life of Flossie, the storm was fighting upper level winds that would eventually throw if off course and eventually break it apart. Flossie originally was heading straight to Hawaii, but when it finally arrived in the area, it strayed to the north of the islands and provided some winds and rains to the islands. The storm rolls through Hawaii on Monday and lasted merely a day. There are no reported fatalities or major injuries from the storm. As it passed through the islands on Tuesday, the storm no longer had its well defined center or any type of organization. Eventually the storm diminished. Flossie is gone.

Monday, July 29, 2013

Flossie Over the Hawaii Islands In the Next Few Hours

The world does know about a tropical storm named FLOSSIE. This storm is located in the Pacific, and looks to be on the attack of the Hawaiian Islands.
But at the present time, even knowing that such a storm is eminent for the islands, there can be 'not yet named' fronts that people not affected by the storms do not know about. There is a percentage of tropical storms that affect land that are never even really reported by NOAA and may even get overlooked. One such storm, actually still a tropical depression continues to bring heavy rain showers across the Philippines, which most likely will trigger flash floods and landslides.
Flossie on the other hand, should continue northwest and enter the South China Sea and make landfall in China soon. This part of the world is being hammered by tropical weather this year. Taiwan, China, Japan, Vietnam and other countries in the region have been hit pretty hard this year already as we are barely halfway through the season of severe tropical weather.
As mentioned earlier in this article, a tropical storm named Flossie is heading straight for the Hawaiian Islands. Unfortunately for the very same area of the world recently hit by severe tropical weather, to include China, Taiwan, Japan and Vietnam, may have to prepare for yet another storm. Flossie, had originated off of the Mexican coastline and has been moving steadily across the Pacific towards Hawaii. The storm is approximately 150+ miles from the major island with present wind speeds of 50 mph and wind gusts at 65 mph. the barometric pressure is falling, now at 999 MB. After ravaging the Hawaiian islands, the forecasters seem to believe that the storm will continue on to the South China Sea, and then begin a journey towards China. If this happens, Flossie may become one of the longest lasting storms of the season, and there may even be a chance for the storm to intensify. Below is a map with the present position of the storm, along with its immediate predicted forward path.
Again, we are lucky that the storm hasn't already intensified, as it has had plenty of time to do so. All you can do is keep your fingers crossed on this one.

Sunday, July 28, 2013

Tropical Storm FLOSSIE heading towards HAWAII

Tropical Storm Flossie is located in the Eastern Pacific, and it looks as if it is now aiming at the Hawaiian Islands. Presently, the storm is located at least 1000 miles from any known land mass. This tropical front is expected to bring very heavy rains, along with heavy winds that will take place on the islands. There is approximately a 100% certainty that the storm will hit Hawaii. Further updates of this storm as it approaches the islands will be forthcoming.

Invest 90W Brings Heavy Rains to Southeastern China and Vietnam

A tropical disturbance, now known as Invest 90W, now located East of the Hainan Province in China, is dumping heavy rains and thunderstorms over parts of Vietnam and southeastern China. This front is not expected to strengthen at this time, and this is just a note acknowledging the tropical storm.

Tropical Storm DORIAN Deminishes to a Depression

As expected, tropical storm Dorian is continuing to weaken because of wind shear and dry air that is causing the storm not to stay organized. Presently, the storm is now just a tropical wave with winds below 40 MPH.  Besides the gusty winds, the storm is still producing rain. Another low to form off of the Africa coast is expected soon, but at this time, there really is no further reason to comment on Dorian unless it picks up strength again as it moves near Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and possibly near the Bahamas. Even though I will no longer report on this storm unless it gets stronger, I will watch this storm and report any increase in strength.

Thursday, July 25, 2013

Invest 99L - 500 miles from the East U.S. Coastline

Invest 99L, approximately 500 miles from the east coast of the United States, is running in an almost northerly direction. It is directly east of North Carolina, but is not expect to run anywhere near the U.S. coast. The present wind speed is 25 MPH and forward travel speed is approximately 15 MPH. Unless this storm gains a name or is threatening any land mass, this will be the last report on this storm.

Tropical Storm Flossie - 6th Pacific Storm of the Season

The sixth tropical storm in the Eastern Pacific for 2013 now has a name, FLOSSIE. This storm is moving west, away from the Mexico mainland. You may wonder why some storm names are used more than others. For this specific name, it has been used for one tropical cyclone in the Atlantic Ocean, five tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, and nine tropical cyclones in the western Pacific. There even was a Hurricane Flossy in 1956. The most recent Hurricane Flossie was a storm that passed near Hawaii. In the late 50's, one of the storms affected Japan in 1958, another struck China in 1964, another approached Taiwan in 1969 and another to hit southern China in 1975.
The latest to occur prior to present day, Flossie of 2007 came within 100 miles of the Hawaiian Islands. Like Dorian, Flossie of 2007 originated off of the coast of Africa and reached its peak wind speed of 140 MPH (220km/h). It only produced a maximum of 6 inches of rain to the island at worst case, but again the storm passed by at least 100 miles away from the islands. It was a Category 4 hurricane for 36 continuous hours and it seemed that the storm would never weaken. Even wind shear didn't phase it. But eventually it was too loose, as they all eventually do, when they reach cooler waters and/or receive a large amount of wind shear. The storm dissipated when it was located south of the Hawaiian Islands.
Again, it is too early to tell what effect Flossie can have on land, as there is no definite prediction regarding its path. Further updates can be found right here as they happen.

Wednesday, July 24, 2013

Dorian Continues West in the Atlantic

Tropical Storm DORIAN, now traveling across the Atlantic appears that it will survive the ocean at least making it until it reaches the Dominican Republic. Dorian is the 4th named Atlantic tropical storm since the beginning of the hurricane season on June 1. But if you remember last year, the last storm to show its face last year turned up late, and turned into a super storm name Sandy.  So even though the storm season this year failed to produce a bad storm, it is just too early to tell if this is going to be a year of no major storms like Sandy. So far, the verdict is out as far as Dorian is concerned, but forecasters are watching this one very closely, as this one began its journey off of the Cape Verde Islands, a known tropical weather birthplace responsible for so many tropical storms that have affected the U.S. in a big way.
One, maybe two forecasts show the storm entering the Gulf of Mexico by Monday of next week. Others have the storm tracking to the north prior to reaching the east coast and not affect the U.S. at all. Again, it is too early to tell, but I will be reporting on this storm a few times a day, especially when this storm creates news. By the time it reaches the Dominican Republic, the storm will have increased strength to become a Category 1 hurricane. While traveling across the Atlantic, the storm will experience wind shear that should weaken the storm somewhat, and may be able to kill it altogether.
Presently there are 3 storms brewing around the world. Any one of them has the potential of growing into a major tropical storm. Updates on Dorian can be found right here on this site daily.

Invest99L Nearing Burmuda

A new weather front that forecasters are watching is one located approximately 350 miles to the South East of Burmuda. This system is now called INVEST 99L.
Projections show the storm heading to the west towards the United States, but then turning very quickly to the north. It is not expected to travel near the United States, It is traveling at a forward speed of only 10 MPH, only half the speed as Dorian, but is now spinning with winds of approximately 25MPH. There stands a good chance that this front will turn into a tropical depression soon, and if so, it will be named Tropical Depression 'Five'.  As soon as it reaches a wind speed of 39 MPH, it will gain the 5th 2013 Atlantic Season storm name of ERIN.

Invest 98L Now Tropical Storm DORIAN

The new storm to watch used to be called Invest98L. Within a period of 24 hours, the storm advanced to a tropical depression called 'FOUR'. Now the storm has advanced once again to Tropical Storm DORIAN. Dorian is the 4th named storm of the Atlantic Hurricane Season. The path of the storm has the storm shooting towards the Caribbean Sea, namely heading towards the Dominican Republic. It is presently moving to the west at approximately 20 MPH, with a location approximately 200 miles to the west of Cape Verde islands. The wind speed within the storm is a steady 50 mph, with wind gusts rising to 65 MPH. The storm appears to be advancing faster than people would like it to. Many were counting on wind shear to actually slow the progress of the storm, both in size and in speed. The storm is moving at a good pace and if all calculations are correct, the storm will make it to the Caribbean sea in just a few days.

Exactly were it may be heading can be projected within the next 48 hours but most predict that it will turn to the north and travel up the east coast. My guess would be that it has a very good chance to enter the gulf, and if it does, all bets are off. By the time it gets in the gulf region, we may already know the strength and damages it can cause if it enters the Gulf. None of the models really predict any type of landfall at this time, but if the storm stays on its present course, the storm will produce lots of rains and winds for a country near the United States, or for mainland U.S. itself. Please return soon to read more updates on this storm.

Monday, July 22, 2013

Invest 98L off the Coast of Africa

Another storm is organizing, known as Invest 98L. This is a storm that the United States may be concerned about, as it has developed off of the coast of Africa and now heading west at 10-15 MPH, and has a 10-15 knot wind shear. Wind shear is a good thing, because it is what causes the storm to become disorganized and does not let the storm to continue to develop into a stronger storm. However, the weather front has the entire Atlantic ocean to travel, and if it stays together and continues in its present direction, it will have an effect on the United States. At the moment, the ocean water temperatures are perfect for spawning a storm, however in a few days, the wind shear is expected to increase, which should definitely affect the strength of the storm, or whether it can stay together or not. The computer models now predict that the front will only have a 10% chance by Wednesday to develop into a tropical storm and forecasters do not have much faith that it will grow into a major storm. If anything at all will come out of this storm, there may be heavy rains and gusty winds to the northern Lesser Antilles Islands by the end of the week. 

Sunday, July 21, 2013

Typhoon Morakot - 2009 Season Storm

Everyone in Taiwan  has recent memories of Typhoon Soulik. It was a devastating storm, but people who lived through Typhoon Morakot just 4 years ago in 2009 may tell you that Soulik doesn't compare to Morakot. Statistics confirm that Typhoon Morakot was one of the worst storms to hit Taiwan in recorded history formed on August 2, 2009 as a tropical depression and was named Morakot by the Japanese Meteorological Agency just one day later on August 3. Two days later on August 5, it was upgraded to a Typhoon. Early on August 7, the storm attained its peak intensity with winds of 140 km/h (85 mph 10-minute sustained) according to the JMA. The JTWC reported the storm to be slightly stronger, with winds peaking at 150 km/h (90 mph 1-minute sustained), the equivalent of a Category 1 hurricane on the Saffir–Simpson Hurricane Scale. The storm affected S. Korea, Philippines, China, Japan, the Okinawa Prefecture and of course Taiwan.  The remnants of the typhoon eventually dissipated on August 11 as it passed through the China mainland.
The casualties rose to 461 dead and 192 missing and the cost rose to 3.3 billion U.S. dollars or NT$110 billion. A record 109.3 inches (2,777 mm) of rain fell, topping a previous record of 68.35 inches (1,736 mm). I can't imagine a rainfall in Texas U.S.A. of 109.3 inches. In China (Fujian province) there were 8 people killed because of Morakot, and costing 1.4 billion dollars. Approximately 50,000 soldiers had to assist in finding trapped or missing people in Taiwan alone. It took 3 years of reconstruction to redevelop the area.
As mentioned, Morakot affected the Philippines. Twenty-six people from the Philippines were killed in this storm.
As a result of Morakot, there were several mudslides, some noted in Taiwan. In Shiao Lin, three hundred people were rescued as an entire town was covered by the mudslide but several remained missing. The people saved by the mudslides were rescued by helicopters. Heavy rains triggered a massive landslide in Pengxi, a town in Wenzhou city of eastern China's Zhejian province, and destroyed seven three-story apartment buildings at the foot of a mountain.
It is almost unbelievable what residents of Taiwan and China have dealt with in the past, knowing all too well that it can happen all over again.

Tropical Weather Front - Invest 98L

Now located in the Eastern Pacific, there is a weather front which is now called Invest 98L. This low front is located off the coast Acapulco Mexico. According to the forecast models, all possible tracks are to the west, traveling away from the coast. This storm should not pose any real threat to the U.S. mainland or Mexico. Further development of this weather system will be reported when it happens.

Saturday, July 20, 2013

Looking back to the Busiest Hurricane Record Year in History

Which year would you suspect be the most active Atlantic hurricane season in recent recorded history?

Some may think back before 2000, but actually the year of 2005 was the most active Atlantic hurricane season in recorded history. There were almost 4,000 deaths, with damages estimating to be almost $160 billion dollars.

There were seven recorded storms that were considered major, but five of these storms were responsible for most of the deaths and destruction. The storms were Emily, Rita, Wilma, Dennis, and last but not least, Katrina. Two of the states, Texas and Louisiana experienced 2 major storms that year.
So far this year, no major storms....    How can one year have so many and then another have none?  Hopefully, you do not truly believe that the United States will not experience a hurricane this year.

With the temperatures heating up, I would expect to see more tropical weather systems this season. The water temperatures in the Atlantic and Pacific, especially in the Gulf of Mexico are at their highest, ever. This can only spell disaster when it comes to storms entering the Gulf of Mexico.

One of the storms mentioned above, Katrina, turned out to be a Category 3 storm that actually entered land
twice. It appeared in a year not only that was full of storms for the season that effected the United States,
it was a year that began two months before the beginning of the hurricane season. A stated fact in a prior article is that most hurricanes that attack the U.S. normally are born off of the coast of Africa. For the most part that is true, but with hurricane Katrina, it got it's birth near the Bahamas, very close to the United States mainland, just East of Florida and North of Puerto Rico, which was an Atlantic storm.

It was tragic that so many people lost their lives because of Katrina. The storm surge from the Gulf, the rains, floods, and high winds took many by surprise. Many of the people who experienced Katrina never experienced a storm of this magnitude or one with such killer force. Some of these people, ones that have witnessed tropical storm fury left the area, knowing full well what could happen, but some of those same people who witnessed it before decided to stay and ride out this storm called Katrina just because they wanted to 'protect' their home.    Katrina won. Unfortunately so many people died, and many not a direct result of direct contact of the storm. Many perished because one of flood water because a dam broke and flooded the lower reaches of the North Bank, in many areas above rooftops.
Actually the hurricane entered land in Waveland, Mississippi, as some people may not know that fact. Checkout a video of a few people stuck in a home that is overcome with floods. Regardless of how much they wanted to stay back and protect there home, the water gods still entered the home, and the water kept rising. Observe three residents of the home, as they watch helplessly, as the water rises in the home.

Friday, July 19, 2013

No Tropical Storms at the Moment around the Globe

So far today, the weather around the globe has been calm. There are no storms to report. Only one storm front began its path from the waters off of the coast of Africa so far this year. This starting point for a storm is usually the starting point for all of the major Gulf of Mexico storms.
Finally the countries of Japan, Philippines and China can rest a while. The storm season is not over, but any amount of calm in the ocean waters is great.
But what is alarming is that this year is already being recorded as the 5th warmest year since around 1880, over 130 years ago. The fact is that warm weather is the biggest factor for tropical storms developing in the oceans. Just a percentage point of rising from the previous year would make for a more active year than the year before.  Another factor is that many countries that usually see tropical weather from year to year have not seen this repeated weather. If the weather runs in cycles, then there may be a few countries that should be on the lookout for tropical storms that don't usually see them on a regular basis.
The 64 million dollar question, where will the next big storm hit?!!!!
It can be anyones guess. The weather forecasters can only predict an actual storm after it has been born. The path, speed, and strength of the storm can be calculated by formulas proven to provide accurate information.
The downfall about knowing about such storms is that no-one has been able to find a way to calm them down once they are born. They just ravish the globe whenever and wherever they want, and so far, there is nothing anyone can do about it. Wouldn't it be nice to be able to disrupt a storm after it is born to stop it in its tracks. Then it may be possible that tropical storms would become extinct. That would mean no hurricanes, no cyclones, no typhoons and thousands upon thousands of people would not perish is such storms.
Ok, enough wishful thinking. Be on the lookout here for the next report on tropical storms, hopefully not another in your area.

Tropical Storm Cimaron now Dissipated- Coasts are now Clear !

Tropical Storm Cimaron made landfall on Thursday Afternoon and made a maximum sustained winds of 40 MPH/64.8MPH. When it reached the coast, the storm was approximately 202 miles/326 km east-northeast of Hong Kong. There were shallow rain bands wrapped around a well defined center, according to the radar at Shantou, China.

There was a considerable amount of rain from this storm, but no major damage is known at this time. The storm quickly dissipated once it was moving over land. There will be no further notices on Cimaron.

Thursday, July 18, 2013

Tropical Storm CIMARON Reaches the China Coast

CIMARON quickly tracked across the northeastern tip of Luzon, Philippines early on July 17 and was forecast to make landfall in eastern China approximately 200 nautical miles (230 miles/370 km) northeast of Hong Kong. This storm is right on track, and has now approached the China mainland entering Guangdong Province. This storm should be short lived, as it will be completely off of open water within hours. The storm has stirred up waves as high as 14 feet in the China Sea. Tiawan will feel minor effects of this storm, but this storm is bearing down on Chaozhou which is where the center of the storm is expected to enter the mainland. The storm is expected to be downgraded to a tropical depression soon, and an update will be coming shortly. This is a fairly mild storm, no where in destructive capabilities as the last storm that ravished Tiawan. But nevertheless, some people will be tragically affected and some may even die. Another report will be here shortly.

Wednesday, July 17, 2013

Tropical Storm CIMERON Now Located between the Philippines and Mainland China

Good News! Invest 97L has apparently dissipated. The storm cell was located in a west central location in the Gulf of Mexico, but the cell appears to have weakened to be of no concern. 

There is also good news concerning Tropical Storm CIMERON, now located half way between the Philippines and the China mainland. The storm is now spinning at its maximum expected strength of 45 MPH, but the wind gusts are now at 60 MPH. The storm should be at the same strength as it enters Guangdong province north of Hong Kong but should rapidly loose speed once on land and the storm should be downgraded to a tropical depression.  Cities from Quanzhou to the north and Shenzhen to the south should feel the effects of this storm, but it should be in the form of rain and wind and minor storm surge . The storm is moving in a forward direction at a speed of 18 MPH. 

Presently, there are no other storms of concern originating from the South China sea at this time, nor is there anything of any concern near the gulf of Mexico.