Sunday, June 30, 2013

Tropical Storm Rumbia continues towards China

Tropical Storm Rumbia continues to pull away from the Philippines on Sunday leaving in its wake a water logged country. The good news if any that has come from this storm is that the death toll remains 0 after the storm rolled through much of the region Friday through Sunday. Still a few minor landslides were reported and heavy rainfall triggered low lying flooding. But as far as Tropical systems in the Philippines go, this one left a small imprint.

Now the storm is moving towards Southern China and also northern Vietnam where it will drop heavy amounts of rain triggering the risk of flooding. The storm is expected to linger after moving over land which will add to the water levels that are already above average through much of the area. This video we talk about all that and more.

Tropical Storm Rumbia Continues towards China

Tropical storm Rumbia continues to move to the NorthWest as it leaves the Philippine mainland. Located now in the South China Sea, it will move onshore of mainland China just south of Hong Kong and Macau. High tides are expected as far south as Haikou and Zhanjiang. The store is expected to be centered directly over Maoming within the next 30 hours. The northwestern coastline of Hainan will also receive high tide and coastal erosion as the storm passes and advances to mainland China. After making land, it will just be a matter of time as the storm will die out with the lack of moisture from the sea.


Tropical Storm DALILA making way up the Mexican Coast

Tropical Depression 4-E has now been upgraded to a tropical storm named DALILA. This storm is very close to the Mexican boarder as it travels up the coast. It is not expected to move away from the coast for at least a few days. This storm only has a wind speed of 40 MPH with 50 MPH gusts at this time. As it moves forward, wind speeds will increase and expected to reach near hurricane strength within the next 24-36 hours. It is presently located at 15.5N, 103.2W moving at 9 MPH. High tides and coastal erosion will take place from Zihuatanejo northward to Mazatlan and my be even more widespread as the storm may move more to the north and become closer to land. The storm will be centered over warm waters the entire time, and it is very possible that the storm will continue to gain strength as it turns to the west. On its present course, The southern tip of Baja California should be effected, to include Cabo San Lucas and San Jose de Cabo. Further updates will be made within the next 8 hours.

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Tropical Depression 4-E Moving Very Close to the Mexican Border

Tropical depression 4-E has now taken shape in the South Eastern Pacific. Presently, it is centered less than 300 miles to the Southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. The storm is expected to track to the Northwest for the next 3 days, moving closer to the border of Mexico as it moves to the north. The storm will provide lots of rain from Acapulco to as far north as Baja California. The storm is expected to provide lots of flooding from just south of Tecoman, and as northward to Manzanillo, Puerto Vallarta San Blas to Mazatlan. The wind speed of the storm is expected to reach as high as 70 MPH with wind gusts up to 85 MPH. The storm may reach hurricane strength as early as Tuesday, when it is expected only 150 miles offshore from Puerto Vallarta. One it reaches that strength off the shores of Puerto Vallarta, it is expected to turn to the west and head out to sea. But before it does, it will provide torrential rains up to at least 15 inches. Again, there will be lots of flooding along the coastline, high waves and erosion along the coast.

Further updates will be coming between 6-8 hours on a continuous basis until the storm heads out to sea and again
it is very important for people living along the border from Zihuatanejo northward to Mazatlan to move out of the way of the sea swells that will inevitability wash on shore. High flood waters will affect dwellings along the Pacific Ocean. 






Latest Tropical Storm Rumbia could bring rain to Taiwan from Sunday

COURTESY of FOCUS TAIWAN NEWS CHANNEL @ http://focustaiwan.tw























Taipei, June 29 (CNA) A tropical storm that formed over the Philippines late Friday could begin affecting Taiwan on Sunday and bring showers to the eastern and southern parts of the country, according to the Central Weather Bureau's latest forecast.

As of 8 a.m. Saturday, Tropical Storm Rumbia was centered 1,240 kilometers south-southeast of Taiwan's southernmost tip of Eluanbi, moving in a west-northwesterly direction at a speed of 26 km per hour.

Rumbia is packing maximum sustained winds of 65 kph and gusts reaching 90 kph, the bureau said Saturday morning.

There is little chance the storm will directly hit Taiwan, forecasters said, but they warned that the unstable weather it causes could last until July 2 islandwide.

The sixth tropical storm to be formed in the 2013 Pacific typhoon season, Rumbia means palm tree in Malaysian.

(By Lee Hsin-Yin)
ENDITEM/ls

Invest 96E Chances are Good to Develop into a Major Tropical Storm

Invest 96E exists off of the Mexico coastline with a 90 percent chance of a tropical cyclone development within the next 48 hours. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center has published the following bulletin....... 

WTPN21 PHNC 282000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.0N 104.5W TO 17.6N 105.3W
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 281800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 104.3W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.8N 104.3W, 
APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO. RECENT 
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) LOCATED UNDERNEATH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION. A 281503Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS THE CONSOLIDATING LLCC AND INDICATES FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. A 281601Z SCATTEROMETRY PASS INDICATED 15-20 KNOT WINDS SURROUNDING THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AS WELL AS LOW (5 TO 10 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED BETWEEN 15 AND 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. DUE TO THE NCREASED CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC AND DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 
292000Z.//
NNNN



Friday, June 28, 2013

Rumbia Passing through Philippines Going towards China

Tropical Depression Six has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm. The new name is Rumbia. This storm is continuing on a steady northwesterly path through the Philippines and into Guangdong province of China. The storm is not expected to strengthen, but will create lots of rain and coastal waves from Taiwan to the central Vietnam border. The storm is taking a direct path through the Philippines. Flooding and mudslides may be possible there. As conditions change, they will be reported right here. 






























WTPN31 PGTW 282100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (RUMBIA) WARNING NR 004    
   UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   281800Z --- NEAR 11.4N 126.4E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N 126.4E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   290600Z --- 13.0N 124.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   291800Z --- 14.6N 122.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   300600Z --- 16.3N 119.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   301800Z --- 18.1N 117.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   011800Z --- 21.4N 113.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   021800Z --- 23.6N 110.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   031800Z --- 26.0N 109.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 11.8N 125.9E.
TROPICAL STORM 06W (RUMBIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 369 NM EAST-
SOUTHEASTWARD OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 
14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 
281800Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z, 290900Z, 291500Z AND 
292100Z.//
NNNN



Tropical Depression Six - Heading Straight for the Philippines














A recently reported tropical storm located approximately 500 Nautical miles East-North-East of Zamboanga, Philippines has been upgraded to a tropical depression. Now running at a forward speed of just 10 MPH to the Northwest, the wind speed is now 30 MPH with wind gusts of 40 MPH. The computer generated path plots have been calculated and the map is immediately below. 
This storm as it continues to the northeast is set to affect the mainland of the Philippines. It looks to start through the southern mainland islands right through the middle of the country. Most all major cites within the Philippines will be affected. 

The major cities that are in a direct path of this storm are as follows.... 

Borongan, Catalogan, Calbayog, Sorsogon, Legazpi, City of Iriga, Naga, Libmanan, Daet, Batangas, Calamba, Paranaque, MANILA, Valenzuela ,Angeles Alavera, Dagupan, Baguio, Alaminos, Bolinao, Bauang, Bayombong, San Fernando, Santiago, Candon, Vigan and Tabuk.  

For now, the storm is not expected to strengthen from what it is now. But the storm will provide allot of rains and wind. This tropical depression is being closely watched for further signs of strength. 

WTPN31 PGTW 280900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (SIX) WARNING NR 002    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   280600Z --- NEAR 9.7N 128.4E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N 128.4E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   281800Z --- 11.0N 126.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   290600Z --- 12.4N 124.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   291800Z --- 14.2N 122.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   300600Z --- 15.7N 120.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   010600Z --- 19.3N 115.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   020600Z --- 23.1N 113.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   030600Z --- 25.6N 113.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
280900Z POSITION NEAR 10.0N 128.0E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST-
SOUTHEASTWARD OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 280600Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z, 282100Z, 290300Z AND
290900Z.   //
NNNN


Thursday, June 27, 2013

Final Notice on Tropical Depression COSME

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E (COSME), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 622 NM WEST NORTHWESTWARD OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS 
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 12 FEET.//

Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert WTPN21 Issued at 27/1930Z - North Western Pacific

WTPN21 PGTW 271930
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 210 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.2N 130.8E TO 13.1N 126.2E WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 271452Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 130.4E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.9N 131.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 130.4E, APPROXIMATELY 509 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF ZAMBOANGA, PHILLIPINES. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT ALTHOUGH THE OVERALL CIRCULATION IS BROAD, A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS CONSOLIDATING BENEATH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION BETWEEN PALAU AND MINDANAO. A 271106Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS FRAGMENTED, BUT IMPROVING, DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING FROM THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AROUND THE WESTERN QUADRANT AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM. A 271452Z SCATTEROMETRY PASS INDICATED AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH 20-25 KNOT WINDS. A 271800Z NEARBY SHIP REPORT INDICATED 230 WINDS AT 20 KNOTS AND 1006.9 MB. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF SLIGHTLY INCREASING, BUT STILL MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-20 KNOTS). ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW, POSSIBLY INCREASING ON THE EQUATORWARD SIDE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. DUE TO THE INCREASED CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC AND IMPROVING UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 281930Z.
//
NNNN

Tropical Storm Cosme Weakening

Tropical storm Cosme, once a Category 1 Hurricane, is loosing steam and now is forecast to become a remnant low late Thursday. Luckily for Hawaii, the cooler waters of the Pacific are choking Cosme. The storm winds have considerably dropped to 75 km/h. The storm is still moving to the northwest and expected shortly to turn directly west and then loose speed. The present speed of the storm is at 26 km/h.

Invest 96E Develops

A new area of interest, known as Invest 96E is a low pressure front that has developed slightly south of the starting point of Tropical Storm Cosme. The present location is at 10.50 Latitude and -103.00 Longitude. The wind speed is approximately 25 MPH with unknown wind gusts at this time. The storm is expected to follow much of the same path at Cosme. More updates will follow.

Wednesday, June 26, 2013

Now as Tropical Storm Cosme - Continues to Weaken

Now just a tropical storm, Cosme is moving west, further into the northern Pacific. If it were to keep up its intensity as a tropical storm, it would reach Hawaii with very minor coastal flooding with just rain showers. But as I write this entry, the storm is becoming weaker. Yesterday it was full fledged Category 1 Hurricane Cosme and now just a tropical storm. Since the storm is totally over open warm waters, it doesn't seem that it will totally dissipate until maybe later this coming weekend. It should still be well off of the coast of the Hawaiian islands even by then.
Presently, it is the only major tropical storm in existence at the present time. However, there are a few coastal storms brewing up off the coast of Africa, where most of the bad tropical weather to affect the United States originates. The storms are weak, but still are prevalent along the western coast of Africa.



















Tuesday, June 25, 2013

Hurricane Cosme and Hawaiian Hurricanes

Hurricane Cosme continues now to move away from the mainland of Mexico, but not before releasing high tides and swells that reached hundreds of miles to the east in Mexico. Presently, Cosme is continuing on its projected path, now traveling to the Northwest. This is good news for Mexico and the United states. As stated in a prior article, by the time the storm heads in a due west direction, it will be well away from the North American Continent and it will have been reduced from a Hurricane to a Tropical Depression. 



In the past as a matter of record, several tropical storms have reached the Hawaiian Islands. Here is a list of these storms dating back to 1950. 

The Islands are way overdue for another tropical storm in 2013. 

Hurricane Hiki              - August 1950
Hurricane Kanoa          - July 1957
Hurricane Nina             - November 1957
Tropical storm ?           - August 1958
Hurricane Dot              - August 1959
Tropical storm Irah      - September 1963
Hurricane Connie         - August 1966
Tropical Storm Maggie - August 1970
Tropical Storm Sarah   - January 1971
Hurricane Denise         - July 1971
Hurricane Diana           - August 1972
Hurricane Fernanda      - September 1972
Tropical Storm Gwen    - August 1976
Hurricane Fico              - July 1978
Hurricane Daniel           - July 1982
Hurricane Iwa               - November 1982
Hurricane Gil                - July/August 1983
Hurricane Raymond      - October 1983
Hurricane Ignacio         - July 1985
Hurricane Estelle          - July 1986
Tropical Storm Gilma    - August 1988
Hurricane Uleki             - August 1988
Hurricane Dalilia           - July 1989
Hurricane Fefa              - August 1991
Hurricane Georgette      - July 1992
Hurricane Iniki              - September 1992
Hurricane Orlene           - September 1992
Hurricane Eugene          - July 1993
Hurricane Fernanda       - August 1993
Tropical Storm Daniel    - July 1994
Hurricane Emilia            - July 1994
Tropical Storm Fabio     - July 1994
Tropical Depression One-C - August 1994
Hurriane Dora               - August 1999
Hurricane Daniel            - August 2000
Hurricane Jimena           - August 2003
Hurricane Darby            - August 2004
Hurricane Kenneth         - September 2005
Hurricane Flossie           - August 2007
Hurricane Hernan           - August 2008
Hurricane Felicia            - August 2009
Hurricane Neki               - October 2009
Tropical Storm Omeka    - December 2010



Monday, June 24, 2013

Tropical Storm Cosme Slowly Growing

10:31PM CT U.S.A. UPDATE

The newest projections of the storm puts it at a Category 1 Hurricane at approximately 10:00 AM CT Tuesday morning. The storm will have wind gusts that will reach 100 MPH, but the storm presently is running parallel in an actual verses projected path, and is expected to turn slightly to the west as it becomes a Category 1 hurricane. The projected forward motion of the storm as a Category one will be approximately 12-15 MPH. It should also travel a distance of approximately 150 miles in a 12 hour time frame.  So the storm is gradually picking up speed, both in rotation and direction, but again, the storm is not expected to affect any land mass at this time, other then slightly higher waves than usual on the Mexican coastline, that may reach from Tecoman to possibly as far north as Mazatlan on the Mexican border. Further north,  Baja California will protect the Mexican mainland from any waves caused by this storm. 

Tropical Storm Bebinca has Dissapaited

As expected, tropical depression Bebinca has totally dissipated now, as the storm was totally over land. The storm could no longer get the upward moisture needed to feed the storm. No further updates will be forthcoming here about Bebinca.

Tropical Storm Cosme Traveling at ONLY 10 MPH

Just prior to 9:00AM Central Time Tropical Depression 3-E advanced to Tropical Storm Cosme. In my last article, mentioned was the fact that the tropical storm would advance to a Category 1 hurricane. Expectation of this is greater now then when the last article was written. Tropical Storm Cosme, now continuing to run on it's expected path is running very slowly at a speed of only 10 MPH (17KPH). It is now located approximately 430 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico. Expectations are that the storm will further gain strength into a category One Hurricane by Tuesday or Wednesday, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center. The storm is progressing faster than I expected. Also original projected showed the storm in Category 1 hurricane status for approximately 12-18 hours. Now it appears that the storm will stay as a hurricane for as long as 24 to 30 hours before loosing strength.  When the storm finally looses strength, it will be actually heading towards the Island of Hawaii, but projections show that it should finally dissipate nearly 1500 miles to the east of the Islands. Waves from this should reach from Acapulco to Puerto Vallarta, but not of any strength to cause any flooding problems. A 36-hour forecast shows the maximum wind speed reaching 80 MPH with wind gusts at 100 MPH.


Sunday, June 23, 2013

Tropical Depression Three-E to Advance as Hurricane COSME


Invest 94E as expected has advanced to a tropical depression known as Three-E located about a thousand miles west of Nicaragua. It is expected to further develop soon in a tropical storm named COSME. Cosme should rapidly gain speed to become a tropical storm at any time. The direction has already been plotted and it is moving in a Northwestern direction. Rains from the storm are possible to a border section of Mexico, but the storm doesn't appear that it will affect any land mass.
Eastern Pacific storms are now appearing much faster than originally expected, as this specific depression will become already the third named storm of the season. As Cosme, it is expected to become at least a Category 1 Hurricane with sustained wind speeds reaching 75 MPH and gusts as high as 90 MPH.
Again, the main storm track after it intensifies does appear to be well off of the coast of Mexico, and there should be little effect from this one except possible rain and maybe a minor storm surge with higher than normal waves off the the Mexican Coast as far north as Puerto Vallarta to as far south as Tecoman.


Saturday, June 22, 2013

Tropical Depression Bebinca Progress

Tropical Depression Bebinca is now over Hainan Providence. It has passed right through Bamen Bay and now centered over the Yuluotang Reservoir. Projections take it over the Shuijing Mountain, towards the Egrit Wonder and Jiatan Reservoir, and then the storm will pass over Danzhou Bay and Nantan Harbor. The storm will continue on and go through the South China Sea and return on shore at the China and Vietnam borders.  Without a warm feed from the sea, the storm is expected to die out, most likely over China. 




Friday, June 21, 2013

Tropical Storm Barry Dissapates

As expected, the second tropical storm of the Atlantic Hurricane season did not go away very easily. Even though it packed  sustained 40-MPH winds, along with heavy rains, along with flash floods and mudslides, the storm provided up to and may have even surpassed 10 inches of rain. 
Prior to its first entrance on land, the storm formed a depression of the coast of Belize last Monday and started moving northward. Belize was now under the gun for some very heavy rains, along with Guatemala. After rain soaking that area, the storm moved into the Gulf of Mexico off of the Bay of Campeche and begun to strengthen again over the warm Gulf waters. 

The storm then entered the mainland of Mexico causing lots of rain, heavy winds and coastal erosion. After the storm moved over land and no longer had a feed from the warm waters as it was now over Southern Mexico, the storm broke apart prior to reaching Mexico City. Even though, the storm provided lots of rain to Mexico City and the surrounding areas. 

The storms in both the Atlantic and Pacific areas provided storms so far that were effective in providing lots of wind and rain, but no major damage caused by the storms as they only weakened fairly quickly once over solid ground. 

This will be the very last update to Tropical Storm Barry.. Until next time Barry... Good Night!!

New Storms - INVEST 94E and INVEST 95E in Southwest Pacific

Invest 94E, located off the coast of South Western Mexico was first recognized as an invest almost 11 hours ago. It reached a wind speed of 25 mph at Latitude 12.80, Longitude -99.60. Since then the storm is moving away from the coast in a Southwestern direction, one would think that there would be of no concern for this storm. However, models show the storm starting off in this direction, but then curing up to the North. The question is how far to the north will it turn. If it would turn directly north, the storm may enter land in central or Northern Mexico. Since it's beginning, the storm has now strengthened to 30 MPH and moving at a speed of 10 MPH at a heading of 275 degrees at Latitude 12.00 and Longitude -100.30. The storm is continuing to move away from Mexico to the Southwest. But according the the model map immediately below, the storm is expected to turn to the north very soon. Updates to this storm will be available as soon as they are known.

INVEST 94E








COMPUTER MODELS FOR INVEST 94E
Just when you think everything is covered, now tracking 3 storms, another low has appeared in the South West Pacific. This one, called Invest 95E, is located approximately 700-800 miles to the west of Invest 94E. It was first named approximately 5 hours ago, and now located at Latitude 13.70, Longitude -113.80. The invest has a wind speed of 25 MPH and at this point the wind gusts are not known. The true direction of travel is not known at this time, but as the storm continues to develop, I will pass along the information.



Tropical Storm Bebinca Heads for the coast of Southern China

Tropical storm Bebinca will be the first to make landfall this year in China. Guangdong is preparing for the greeting of Bebinca in less than 24 hours from now. The maximum sustained winds at this point is 80 km per hour, and it is running right at Buangdong's coastal areas at somewhere between 15 and 20 km per hour. Next to Hainan Province, Bebinca is expected to enter land near Taishan or Wenchang.
For the next two days the wesrtern parts of Guangdong will see lots of heavy rains within the next 48 hours. The extreme weather conditions will have a definite impact along the coastal areas, as expected erosion and flooding is expected.
Have you ever wondered where some of these Cyclone names come from? In this case, Bebinca is named after a pudding that is very common in Macao.



Tropical Depression Five NOW Tropical Storm Bebinca

The storm which started out as Tropical Depression Five is now Tropical Storm Bebinca. The storm now has sustained winds of 40 MPH, located at 18.7N 115.5E. It is steadily moving to the Northwest towards mainland China. 
The storm appears to be right on the projected course as stated in the last article. Within the next 24 hours, heavy rains and sustained wins will batter Haikou, North of Hainan Providence. The top winds while the storm enters the coast is approximately 35-40 MPH. 
Once the storm enters mainland China, most likely it will weaken, but not before it may cause much damage. 



Thursday, June 20, 2013

Tropical Depression Leepi - Aiming for Central Japan

Tropical Depression Leepi is still centrally located at the halfway point between Shanghai China and Nagasaki Japan. 
The latest track puts the storm directly over the the Japanese mainland, aiming directly at Kumamoto, and affected other fairly large cities of Nagasaki and Saga. Now it is just a matter of time before the storm turns to the east. Originally, it was expected that the storm would at first just glance by the southern coast of Japan, but now it looks as if a major portion of the mainland will be affected. 
The storm has a high chance of weakening soon, as it has entered warmer waters in the East China Sea, and is not expected to go much further north before heading to the east. If the storm was to continue in its current direction, it would head directly towards South Korea. But all forecasters seem to believe that Leepi will turn to the east very soon. There will be flooding as the storm moves closer. Updates with further landfall predictions will be following this article.

Tropical Depression Leepi

Tropical Depression Five making Waves towards China

Back on Tuesday, I reported another storm cell west of the Philippines. Just a few hours ago, the storm intensified and now known as Tropical Depression Five
The center of the storm is located in the South China Sea heading in a northwestern direction towards China. It is raining in the Philippines presently, but as the storm moves to the Northwest, the rains will stop. There will be no such luck for China and Vietnam though. Presently the storm is producing 30 MPH winds with 40 mph gusts. In less than 12 hours the tropical storm will slightly intensify to approximately 36 MPH winds with 46 MPH gusts. A tropical storm may develop as it may continue to intensify but not forecast at this time. Heavy rains will begin for mainland China and landfall looks to be through Leizhou Bay just north of Haikou. The storm may weaken slightly as it moves through the Bay and onto land, but it will reappear back in the South China Sea and pick up strength again. It should remain as Tropical Depression Five throughout its life, will little chance of gaining more strength and become a named storm. As long as the storm does not gain strength in the South China Sea, it will never receive another name. Forecasters presently show that the storm will enter the mainland of China's most southern providence of Hainan, far southwest of Taiwan , and  again centered over Zbenzhu Harbor at Hainan Island, creating heavy rains well to the north and west of Thai Nguyen. The storm will again loose strength when again entering land on the China and Vietnam border, but not before dumping several inches of rain and causing minor coastal flooding from Macau, all the way south to Haiphong of Vietnam. There are a total of eight major cities and ten counties located in Hainan province that will be affected, but the effects will be even more widespread. As long as the storm keeps on its present course, the major cities to be affected will be Wenchang, Qionghai, Wanning, Wuzhishan, Dongfang and Danzhou that are known at this time. More predictions can be made regarding cities to be affected within the next 12 to 24 hours. 

Tropical Depression FIVE






Tropical Depression FIVE and Tropical Storm LEEPI

From the Joint Tropical Warning Center (JTWC)

WTPN32 PGTW 202100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//

REMARKS:
202100Z POSITION NEAR 17.8N 117.0E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 337 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTWARD OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 
201800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z, 210900Z, 211500Z AND 
212100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (LEEPI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 
PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM.//
NNNN

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Tropical Depression Two now Tropical Storm Barry

As expected, Tropical Depression Two was recently upgraded to Tropical Storm Barry. It was natural to intensify as it passed through the Bay of Campeche prior to taking aim at Mexico City. The storm is expected to be centered over Veracruz with sustained wind speeds reaching 45 MPH and wind gusts of 65 MPH. This storm will bring along with it storm surge and flooding to the west coast of Mexico. In less than 12 hours while being on shore, the storm is expected to weaken, and by the time it reaches Mexico City, it should be downgraded to a tropical depression once again. With no more waters feeding warm moisture up through the tropical storm, along with wind sheer expected when it is over land, the storm is expected to dissipate.




Leepi May Directly Affect the Japan Mainland

Tropical Storm Leepi, with a steady wind speed of 40 MPH, is moving forward at approximately 10 MPH and running slightly west of due north. 
The storm is pretty much on the projected path, except now the storm is entering the East China Sea further West than expected. It is expected to start turning to the east in approximately 6 to 8 hours from now. Somewhere between 7:00PM CT, the storm is expected to start moving in a Northeastern direction at Latitude 28.70 and Longitude 126.00 as long as it keeps on its present course. Leepi will pass by China, but by a very substantial distance, as it's closest point to the mainland of China would be Taizhou. Rains are possible during the next 48 hours from this storm, but it is unlikely that this tropical storm would affect the mainland of China to any degree.
However, as the storm tracks north then finally northeast in the East China Sea, models now show that it will miss all of the Okinawa Prefecture, including Naha as it will pass more to the West. When the storm finally makes a turn to the east, models show the storm now traveling directly over the extremely southern portion of Japan. Japanese mainland cities, Kumemto, Miyazaki, Kagoshima and Kochi should be directly affected by the storm. 
Hopes are now that Leepi will not further gain intensity, or that it not track further north into the East China Sea as it continues forward. More updates to follow.


Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Another Developing Storm Northwest of the Philippines

Another area of concern, now located approximately 242 nautical miles northwest of Puerto Princesa, Philippines is being watched. 
Satellite imagery shows low-level circulation that appears to be weak at this time, but also shows a favorable environment with very low vertical wind shear. The water temperature at this location is 28-30 degrees Celsius which makes it very favorable for development. 
Computer models show that it is very favorable for the system to become a tropical depression within the next 48 hours or so. It is possible that the storm may develop more quickly, as soon as the next 24 hours. Updates regarding this weather system will be made here as further information is gathered for publication. 

Tropical Depression Two - Update

The beginnings of a storm named Tropical Depression Two has been steady in strength as it moves towards a small town in the Mexican state of Tabasco named Frontera. After the storm reaches the Mexican coastal city of Frontera, it is expected to be over water for almost a day before re-entering Mexico just south of Heroica Veracruz over a town called Boca de Rio. Depending on possible gained strength over water, will determine the amount of damage the storm can produce as it appears to head towards Mexico City. Most likely by then, the storm will have dissipated well before it reaches Mexico City. When the storm reaches a mid-point through the Bay of Campeche, another progress report will be given on this blog. It is expected to be at mid-point at approximately 6:00 PM on June 19.


Tropical Storm Leepi - Update

At this point, tropical storm LEEPI is not expected to become a typhoon and damaging winds that normally come from this type of storm doesn't appear to be a threat at this time. 
However, the storm seems to be staying on or near the expected track of the storm. Presently, located approximately 550 miles to the Northeast of the Philippines, it is now expected to continue towards the mainland of Japan, affecting Okinawa and other Islands nearby with significant rains. Actually, the prognosis seems to be fairly good, considering that the storm seems to be well organized. 
As it is moving to the north, the water temperatures for the storm will change, as the further north the storm moves, the cooler the water will be. Because the storm is well organized and upper level wind shear for the storm is not prevalent at this time, the storm should not dissipate anytime soon. So far, the weather forecasters have called this one right, and I'm feeling confident that the center of this storm will never reach the mainland of Japan. 
As the storm heads north, it will graze the China coastline, but being significantly away from the eastern shores of China, it is not expected to cause much damage. 
The progress of this storm will reported again here and another update will be listed when more definite facts are received regarding this storm. 


Tropical Storm LEEPI - Gaining Strength

Tropical Depression Four has now been upgraded to a tropical storm. The tropical storm name is LEEPI

The direction is now almost due north. The wind speed has been upgraded to 40 MPH and wind gusts are now at 50 MPH. 

The storm is well developed and has all of the tributes to intensify. The next several days will prove to be fairly difficult for the Okinawa Islands which are in the direct path of the storm along with lots of rain slated for the Yaeyama and Miyako Islands, and later towards the weekend, the Japanese mainland will be inundated with rain. 

The storm is expected to strengthen to sustained winds above 60 MPH as it reaches the East China Sea. 





Monday, June 17, 2013

Tropical Depression Four Aiming for the East China Sea

Just a day ago, I had nothing new to report on this blog. But the weather gods seem to be giving me lots of material since then. Presently, as previously reported on a tropical wave off of the coast of the Philippines is  a sub-tropical storm now known as Tropical Depression Four. It is now moving just slightly west of due north at approximately 8 MPH. The wind speed presently is 30 MPH with wind gusts at 40 MPH. As noted on the map below, it will be moving away from the Philippines as long as it stays on its present course. Entering the East China Sea, it will then veer off to the Northeast and continue until it dissipates. Prior to dissipating, it is expected to pass by the coast of the Mainland of Japan. 
The closest point projected to the mainland would be at a town known as Taizhau. On the present course, the storm will pass over the Okinawa Prefecture, affecting Neha, along wih the Yaeyama Islands and Miyako Islands. The storm will be over open waters for most of the time for the next several days, so it is highly likely that a tropical storm will appear and possibly a cyclone as it continues to grow. Every change to the path and strength of the storm will be reported in real time.


Possible Cyclone Formation East of the Philippines

WTPN21 PGTW 162200
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 170 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.3N 127.6E TO 18.7N 126.7E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 162130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 127.2E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 127.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 127.2E, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING, BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH IMPROVED, CURVED BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC. A 161851Z SSMI IMAGE DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND SOUTH QUADRANT WITH A BROAD LLCC. A 161544Z OSCAT IMAGE INDICATED AN ELONGATED
CIRCULATION WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS WITH HIGHER WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED WITHIN A GENERALLY FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (LESS THAN 15 KNOTS) AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, ENHANCED BY A TUTT CELL LOCATED NEAR 21N 127E. THE DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS IT TRACKS NORTHWARD, PARALLEL TO THE EAST COAST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
172200Z.//

                POSSIBLE FORMATION EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES

Pre Barry - Tropical Storm Two Heading Northwest towards Mexico

Now known as Tropical Depression Two, the storm is continuing on an expected path towards Mexico City. Presently, the storm has sustained winds of 35 MPH, at location Latitude 18.0/Longitude -91.2. It is still unknown whether the depression will turn into tropical storm Barry as it is expected to be over water for a very short time.
Storm predictions now are very accurate as of late, and if predictions are accurate for this storm, it will continue in a northwestern course and continue through the Bay of Campeche into Mexico. Rains have reached Belize and will continue raining for some time. Tornadoes may develop from this storm, but unlikely.




Sunday, June 16, 2013

Invest 93L Soon To Become Tropical Storm Barry

Invest 93L is progressing through the Honduras with a present sustained wind speed of 30 MPH. It is possible that within the next 24 hours that this disturbance now moving Northwest at 15 MPH will turn into a tropical storm at 39 MPH. If and when it does, it will be named Tropical Storm Barry. It will be located over the Caribbean Sea heading towards Belize within the next few hours. It is during this time that the storm may strengthen to a tropical storm. At this point, the storm is expected to take a more westerly path and may head towards Mexico City. If the storm stays centered above land, then most likely the storm may weaken and dissipate. If the storm takes a more northern direction and enters the Gulf of Mexico, all bets are off and new computer models will be drawn for new predictions for possible landfall. 
A more accurate prediction will be available within the next 8 hours. 



The following data is from NOAA/National Weather Service.


A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM EASTERN HONDURAS NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. ALTHOUGH THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SIGNS
OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION...SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND OVER BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATER TODAY. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF HONDURAS...THE BAY ISLANDS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.


Invest 93L Forms East of Nicaragua

An area previously reported and now of great interest to weather forecasters is an area given the name of 'Invest 93L' The area of low pressure is located at Latitude 14.0 N and Longitude 82.5 W in the Caribbean Sea, centered east of Nicaragua. The storm is moving to the Northwest a maximum speed of 12 MPH, and contains maximum winds of 25 MPH. The track of the storm is expected to continue to track to the Northwest into Mexico, so there is little chance that the storm will further develop into a hurricane. One of the tracks as seen below takes the storm further to the east of Mexico, traveling through the Gulf of Mexico, heading towards Texas. Further updates will follow and more precise data will become available as the storm progresses. The visuals below are courtesy of 'NASA' and 'Weather Underground.'

Saturday, June 15, 2013

Disorganized Showers over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea

10% chance of development

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean sea is associated with a tropical wave. Upper-level winds could become more conducive for some development in a couple of days when the wave is over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea. This system has a low chance...10 Percent.. of becoming a Tropical Cyclone during the next 48 hours. 

The picture immediately below shows the wide band of disorganized showers associated with a tropical wave. 




Possible tropical weather formation in the area indicated immediately below.



Tropical Activity for June 2012

One year ago this month, it should be noted that two tropical storms, one named Hurricane Chris and the other Tropical Storm Debby, formed in the basin during June of 2012. It is not as unusual as previously thought that there was no tropical activity this month so far. If you look at the averages for the last 30 years to 2010, named storms would form in June just about once every other year. Also noted hurricanes form in the basin once every 7 or 8 years. But last year, Tropical Storm Debby which formed on June 23, 2012, became the earliest formation of four named storms on record in the basin. 
Last year marked the highest tropical activity in the last 30 years, and was "considered the highest value for any year since 1968."
So what will happen this year? One thing is just about certain is that something will happen. Whether or not the storms will reach the U.S. mainland is just a question that will be answered maybe sooner or later. 
Next weekend, most families in the U.S. will celebrate Fathers day, but I'm almost willing to bet that a named storm will be on the radar before then.  

HURRICANE CHRIS track



TROPICAL STORM DEBBY track




Here is the complete list of storms of the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season...


  • Tropical Storm Alberto – PDF – KMZ
  • Tropical Storm Beryl – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Chris – PDF – KMZ
  • Tropical Storm Debby – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Ernesto – PDF – KMZ
  • Tropical Storm Florence – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Gordon – PDF – KMZ
  • Tropical Storm Helene – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Isaac – PDF – KMZ
  • Tropical Storm Joyce – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Kirk – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Leslie – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Michael – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Nadine – PDF – KMZ
  • Tropical Storm Oscar – PDF – KMZ
  • Tropical Storm Patty – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Rafael – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Sandy – PDF – KMZ
  • Tropical Storm Tony – PDF – KMZ

Here is the complete list of storms of the 2012 Pacific Hurricane Season...



  • Tropical Storm Aletta – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Bud – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Carlotta – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Daniel – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Emilia – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Fabio – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Gilma – PDF – KMZ
  • Tropical Storm Hector – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Ileana – PDF – KMZ
  • Tropical Storm John – PDF – KMZ
  • Tropical Storm Kristy – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Lane – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Miriam – PDF – KMZ
  • Tropical Storm Norman – PDF – KMZ
  • Tropical Storm Olivia – PDF – KMZ
  • Hurricane Paul – PDF – KMZ
  • Tropical Storm Rosa – PDF – KMZ