10% chance of development
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean sea is associated with a tropical wave. Upper-level winds could become more conducive for some development in a couple of days when the wave is over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea. This system has a low chance...10 Percent.. of becoming a Tropical Cyclone during the next 48 hours.
The picture immediately below shows the wide band of disorganized showers associated with a tropical wave.
Possible tropical weather formation in the area indicated immediately below.