Sunday, June 16, 2013

Invest 93L Soon To Become Tropical Storm Barry

Invest 93L is progressing through the Honduras with a present sustained wind speed of 30 MPH. It is possible that within the next 24 hours that this disturbance now moving Northwest at 15 MPH will turn into a tropical storm at 39 MPH. If and when it does, it will be named Tropical Storm Barry. It will be located over the Caribbean Sea heading towards Belize within the next few hours. It is during this time that the storm may strengthen to a tropical storm. At this point, the storm is expected to take a more westerly path and may head towards Mexico City. If the storm stays centered above land, then most likely the storm may weaken and dissipate. If the storm takes a more northern direction and enters the Gulf of Mexico, all bets are off and new computer models will be drawn for new predictions for possible landfall. 
A more accurate prediction will be available within the next 8 hours. 



The following data is from NOAA/National Weather Service.


A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM EASTERN HONDURAS NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. ALTHOUGH THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SIGNS
OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION...SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND OVER BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATER TODAY. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF HONDURAS...THE BAY ISLANDS...GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.


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