Monday, July 14, 2014

Tropical Weather Outlook - Eastern North Pacific July 14, 2014 - Atlantic Quiet

Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON JUL 14 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees
west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located about 1600 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii is producing a few showers and thunderstorms.  Some slow development of this system is possible while it moves toward the west or west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph, and into the Central Pacific Basin later this week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Quiet in the Atlantic - July 14th through July 18th

None of the reliable models for predicting genesis of Atlantic tropical cyclones is predicting development over the next five days, and there are no threat areas to discuss. The tropical Atlantic is dominated by dry air and high wind shear, and SSTs are 0.2°C below average in the Hurricane Main Development region between the coast of Africa and Central America, between 10°N - 20°N. If we get another tropical storm this month, the most likely area for formation would be off the Southeast U.S. coast or in the Gulf of Mexico.
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